Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002965 0.003184 0.003423 0.003704 0.004028 0.004396 0.004848
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002618 0.002906 0.003239 0.003661 0.004193 0.004856 0.005778
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002450 0.002792 0.003209 0.003770 0.004534 0.005587 0.007261
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002314 0.002691 0.003170 0.003848 0.004835 0.006331 0.009069
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002154 0.002539 0.003040 0.003776 0.004902 0.006735 0.010522
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002001 0.002379 0.002881 0.003636 0.004835 0.006894 0.011591
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001912 0.002296 0.002817 0.003624 0.004959 0.007416 0.013846
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001762 0.002121 0.002610 0.003371 0.004643 0.007025 0.013477
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001710 0.002076 0.002584 0.003395 0.004805 0.007628 0.016564
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001684 0.002066 0.002605 0.003493 0.005114 0.008657 0.022855
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001638 0.002023 0.002574 0.003502 0.005256 0.009359 0.029790
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001618 0.002016 0.002597 0.003602 0.005598 0.010754 0.049322
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001570 0.001967 0.002556 0.003595 0.005732 0.011706 0.081845
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001511 0.001901 0.002484 0.003527 0.005727 0.012236 0.135342
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001490 0.001890 0.002499 0.003618 0.006106 0.014492 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001465 0.001872 0.002500 0.003685 0.006449 0.017097 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001417 0.001816 0.002436 0.003616 0.006430 0.017960 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001361 0.001746 0.002344 0.003487 0.006224 0.017631 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001330 0.001713 0.002312 0.003474 0.006339 0.019426 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001261 0.001618 0.002174 0.003239 0.005800 0.016610 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001241 0.001600 0.002164 0.003262 0.005992 0.018841 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001234 0.001601 0.002186 0.003353 0.006406 0.023697 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001214 0.001581 0.002170 0.003361 0.006575 0.027204 NaN